| 陈正洪,杨红青.城市火险天气等级多因子综合预报法[J].火灾科学,1998,7(3):18-23. |
| 城市火险天气等级多因子综合预报法 |
| Comprehensive Forecast to Weather Degree of City Fire Danger through Many Meteorological Factors |
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| DOI：10.3969/j.issn.1004-5309.年.期.顺序 |
| 基金项目: |
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| 中文关键词: 城市火险 等级 综合预报法 划分标准 回代检验 |
| 英文关键词:City fire danger Degree Comprehensive forecast method Classified standard Return test |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 在“城市火灾中关键气象因子的诊断分析”的基础上，通过权重系数法建立四季城市火灾率多因子综合预报法，并进行了合理的等级划分，对等级标准的回代检验表明：３级以上中高火险日数少，但对火灾概括率、日着火机率均高，说明该预报方法有较好的分辩预报能力。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Based on the diagnostic analysis of critical meteorological factors in the city fire disaster, thed method of the comprehensive forecast to fire disasters occurring rate in the city for four seasons are build by weighted coefficient, and the reasonable weather degrees are classified, the results of return test to weather degree standard shows: not so many days with medium、high degree fire danger can summarize most of the fire events, which indicates that the forecast method has the ability to distinguish and forecast. |
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